Opinion polling for the 2025 Philippine Senate election
This article covers opinion polling for the 2025 Philippine Senate election.
Opinion polling in the Philippines is conducted by Social Weather Stations (SWS), Pulse Asia, OCTA Research, and other pollsters.
Those who win outright are in bold. Those that are within the margin of error are in italics.
Polling for Senate elections
Pollsters usually do face-to-face interviews with respondents. They sometimes present respondents with a mock ballot on which the respondent will mark his or her choices for the Senate. The Senate of the Philippines is elected via multiple non-transferable vote on an at-large basis, where a voter has 12 votes, cannot transfer any of the votes to a candidate, and can vote for up to twelve candidates. If the mock ballot has 13 or more preferences, the pollster classifies it as "invalid."
Aside from publishing preferences per candidate, pollsters also include other data such as averages on how many candidates the respondents included in their preferences.
Calendar
- Filing of candidacies: October 1 to 8, 2024
- Campaign period for nationally elected positions: February 11 to May 10, 2025
- Campaign period for locally elected positions: March 28 to May 10, 2025
- Election day: May 12, 2025
Survey details
Date/s administered | Pollster | Sample size | Margin of error | Major issues when poll was administered |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jun 26–Jul 1, 2024[1] | OCTA | 1,200 | ±3.0% | |
Jun 17–24, 2024[2] | Pulse Asia | – | – | |
Mar 14–19, 2024[3] | Publicus Asia | 1,500 | – | |
Mar 11–14, 2024[4] | OCTA | 1,200 | ±3.0% | |
Mar 6–10, 2024[5] | Pulse Asia | – | – | |
Feb 21–29, 2024[6] | Oculum | 3,000 | ±2.0% | |
Dec 10–14, 2023[7] | OCTA | 1,200 | ±3.0% | |
Sep 30–Oct 4, 2023[8] | OCTA | 1,200 | ±3.0% | |
Sep 20–30, 2023[9] | RP-MDF | 10,000 | ±1.0% | |
Apr 15–18, 2023[10] | SWS | 1,200 | ±3.0% |
Per candidate
By voter preferences
Before October 2024
Candidate | Party | Apr 15–18, 2023 SWS[10] | Sep 20–30, 2023 RP-MDF[9] | Sep 30–Oct 4, 2023 OCTA[8] | Dec 10–14, 2023 OCTA[7] | Feb 21–29, 2024 Oculum[6] | Mar 6–10, 2024 Pulse Asia[5] | Mar 11–14, 2024 OCTA[4] | Mar 14–19, 2024 Publicus Asia[3] | Jun 17–24, 2024 Pulse Asia[2] | Jun 26–Jul 1, 2024 OCTA[1] | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benjamin Abalos Jr. | PFP | 8% | 40.3% | 15% | 18% | – | 12.9% | 21% | – | 10.2% | 27% | |
Ernesto Abella | Independent | – | – | – | – | – | 0.6% | – | – | 0.5% | 1% | |
Persida Acosta | Independent | – | – | – | – | – | 8.9% | – | – | 6.3% | 7% | |
Pantaleon Alvarez | Reporma | 2% | – | – | – | – | 3.3% | – | – | 2.0% | – | |
Bam Aquino | KANP | 7% | – | 13% | 12% | – | 17.3% | 7.3% | – | 12.5% | 10% | |
Lorraine Badoy-Partosa | Independent | – | – | – | – | – | 0.5% | – | – | 0.3% | – | |
Teddy Baguilat | Liberal | 2% | – | – | – | – | 0.3% | – | – | – | – | |
Carl Balita | Aksyon | 0.5% | – | – | – | – | 2.5% | 2.6% | – | 1.9% | – | |
Ace Barbers | Nacionalista | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2% | |
Herbert Bautista | NPC | 8% | 17.1% | 10% | 12% | – | 11.0% | 11.7% | – | 13.2% | 12% | |
Greco Belgica | PDDS | 1% | – | – | – | – | 1.4% | – | – | 0.8% | 1% | |
Abigail Binay | NPC | – | – | 10% | 11% | – | 29.1% | 14.1% | – | 18.9% | 23% | |
Jejomar Binay | UNA | 15% | – | – | 25% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Jimmy Bondoc | Independent | – | – | – | – | – | 0.8% | – | – | – | – | |
Jose Calida | Independent | – | – | – | – | – | 0.7% | – | – | – | – | |
France Castro | ACT Teachers | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.0% | 1% | |
Pia Cayetano | Nacionalista | 23% | 39.6% | 36% | 30% | 35% | 37.7% | 26% | 23% | 42.7% | 39% | |
Neri Colmenares | Makabayan | 4% | – | 6% | 8% | – | 4.4% | 5.4% | – | 5.9% | 4% | |
Dakila Cua | PFP | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.3% | – | |
Dingdong Dantes | Independent | – | – | – | – | – | 10.4% | – | – | 8.1% | 11% | |
Rafaela David | Akbayan | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.3% | – | |
Noli de Castro | Aksyon | 9% | 20.2% | 19% | 12% | – | – | 13.7% | – | – | 12% | |
Leila de Lima | Liberal | 5% | – | 6% | 7% | – | 9.3% | 8.6% | – | – | 9% | |
Arthur Defensor Jr. | PFP | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3% | |
Lorenz Defensor | NUP | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.5% | – | |
Mike Defensor | PFP | – | – | 14% | 7% | – | 8.9% | 11.3% | – | – | 9% | |
Ronald dela Rosa | PDP | 9% | 51.7% | 39% | 47% | 41% | 33.2% | 33% | 28% | 31.3% | 36% | |
Fernando Diaz | PPP | 1% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.6% | – | |
Chel Diokno | KANP | 7% | – | 12% | 7% | – | 11.2% | 7.3% | – | – | 6% | |
Franklin Drilon | Liberal | 8% | – | 13% | 12% | – | 16.1% | 14.5% | – | 15.3% | 17% | |
Paolo Duterte | HNP | – | – | 13% | 14% | – | 13.1% | 15.1% | – | 13.8% | 15% | |
Rodrigo Duterte | PDP | 25% | – | – | – | 53% | 47.7% | 38% | 38% | 38.7% | 33% | |
Sebastian Duterte | HNP | – | – | – | – | – | 13.5% | 16.8% | – | 14.9% | 18% | |
Guillermo Eleazar | Reporma | 7% | – | 8% | – | – | 10.4% | 4.8% | – | 9.8% | 4% | |
Luke Espiritu | PLM | 1% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Ted Failon | Independent | – | – | – | – | – | 14.6% | – | – | 18.8% | 13% | |
Christina Frasco | Lakas | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.8% | 2% | |
Duke Frasco | NUP | – | – | – | – | – | 1.4% | – | – | 2.8% | – | |
Larry Gadon | KBL | 5% | – | 4% | – | – | 4.6% | 3.4% | – | 3.5% | 1% | |
George Garcia | Independent | – | – | – | – | – | 0.9% | – | – | – | – | |
Gwendolyn Garcia | One Cebu | 4% | – | 5% | – | – | 5.2% | 5.9% | – | – | 3% | |
Rex Gatchalian | NPC | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Bong Go | PDP | 20% | 68.7% | 49% | 53% | 40% | 44.2% | 50% | 32% | 36.6% | 45% | |
Ferdinand Golez | Independent | – | – | – | – | – | 0.6% | – | – | – | 1% | |
Richard Gomez | PFP | 7% | – | 14% | 11% | – | 11.6% | 12.7% | – | 9.9% | 8% | |
Aurelio Gonzales Jr. | Lakas | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.9% | – | |
Dick Gordon | Bagumbayan | 6% | – | 16% | 14% | – | 14.8% | 17.6% | – | 12.0% | 15% | |
Samira Gutoc | Aksyon | 1% | – | – | – | – | – | 2.1% | – | – | 2% | |
Barry Guttierez | Akbayan | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.9% | – | |
Gregorio Honasan | Reform PH | 10% | – | 19% | 18% | 23% | 17.5% | 17.6% | – | 18.6% | 17% | |
Edwin Jubahib | PFP | 0.5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Lorna Kapunan | Aksyon | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.4% | – | |
Panfilo Lacson | Independent | 16% | 36.9% | 32% | 32% | 32% | 28.6% | 34% | 32% | 32.2% | 34% | |
Rey Langit | PDP | 1% | – | – | – | – | 1.3% | 1.7% | – | – | 1% | |
Lito Lapid | NPC | 17% | 25.3% | 26% | 20% | 30% | 25.4% | 22% | – | 21.4% | 28% | |
Wilbert Lee | Independent | – | – | – | – | – | 0.4% | – | – | 1.4% | – | |
Ronald Llamas | Akbayan | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.6% | – | |
Benjamin Magalong | NPC | – | – | – | – | – | 3.1% | – | – | 2.1% | – | |
Hermilando Mandanas | PDP | – | – | 2% | – | – | 0.6% | 2.1% | – | 1.2% | – | |
Richard Mata | Independent | – | – | – | – | – | 0.4% | – | – | – | 1% | |
Rodante Marcoleta | PDP | 3% | – | 8% | – | – | 2.4% | 2.2% | – | 4.3% | 3% | |
Liza Araneta Marcos | PFP | – | – | – | – | – | 6.0% | – | – | – | – | |
Imee Marcos | Nacionalista | 18% | 55.8% | 39% | 42% | 35% | 32.1% | 29% | 27% | 33.8% | 28% | |
Eric Martinez | PDP | – | – | – | – | – | 0.8% | – | – | – | – | |
Cesar Montano | Independent | – | – | – | – | – | 8.4% | – | – | 7.1% | 6% | |
Isko Moreno | Aksyon | 14% | 36.5% | 35% | 32% | 45% | 31.5% | 27% | 27% | 31.7% | 23% | |
Ariel Nepomuceno | Independent | – | – | – | – | – | 0.3% | – | – | – | – | |
Victor Neri | Independent | – | – | 3% | – | – | 2.2% | 3.8% | – | 2.9% | 2% | |
Willie Ong | Aksyon | – | 24.7% | 21% | 17% | 35% | 24.6% | 21% | 41% | 18.3% | 20% | |
Serge Osmeña | Independent | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Manny Pacquiao | PROMDI | 19% | 37.2% | 26% | 28% | 43% | 33.7% | 32% | – | 33.5% | 32% | |
Salvador Panelo | PDP | 2% | – | 3% | – | – | 0.8% | 2.5% | – | 2.4% | – | |
Francis Pangilinan | Liberal | 8% | 19.8% | 19% | 15% | – | 22.2% | 14.9% | – | 19.2% | 17% | |
Prospero Pichay Jr. | Lakas | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.9% | – | |
Emmanuel Piñol | NPC | 2% | – | – | – | – | 3.5% | – | – | – | – | |
Ariel Querubin | Nacionalista | – | – | – | – | – | 1.0% | – | – | 2.8% | 3% | |
Apollo Quiboloy | Independent | – | – | – | – | – | 0.2% | – | – | 0.6% | – | |
Ralph Recto | Nacionalista | 7% | – | 14% | 15% | – | 18.8% | 13.9% | – | 15.8% | 14% | |
Jesus Crispin Remulla | NUP | 1% | – | – | – | – | 3.6% | – | – | – | – | |
Bong Revilla | Lakas | 13% | 63.8% | 32% | 35% | 32% | 29.6% | 30% | – | 29.9% | 38% | |
Willie Revillame | Independent | – | 19.4% | 13% | 18% | – | 25.9% | 14.3% | – | – | 15% | |
Leni Robredo | Liberal | 10% | 50.9% | 15% | 17% | 23% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 27% | – | – | |
Rufus Rodriguez | CDP | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3% | |
Vic Rodriguez | Independent | – | – | – | – | – | 0.9% | – | – | 0.4% | 1% | |
Martin Romualdez | Lakas | 5% | 53.4% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Yedda Marie Romualdez | Lakas | – | – | – | – | – | 1.5% | – | – | 2.4% | – | |
Harry Roque | PRP | 4% | – | 8% | 7% | – | 5.0% | 5.8% | – | 5.9% | 2% | |
Mar Roxas | Liberal | 10% | – | 11% | 15% | – | 13.6% | 11.7% | – | 15.9% | 13% | |
Phillip Salvador | PDP | – | – | 6% | – | – | 3.9% | 3.6% | – | 5.4% | 4% | |
Korina Sanchez | Independent | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11.5% | – | |
Vilma Santos | Nacionalista | 3% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23.6% | – | |
Allen Singson | Independent | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.7% | – | |
Tito Sotto | NPC | 18% | 68.9% | 42% | 48% | 53% | 51.8% | 52% | 32% | 50.4% | 44% | |
Vico Sotto | Independent | 18% | – | – | – | 35% | – | – | – | – | – | |
Anthony Taberna | Independent | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.7% | – | – | – | |
Gilbert Teodoro | PRP | 5% | – | 18% | 19% | – | 15.2% | 12.6% | 26% | 16.8% | 14% | |
Francis Tolentino | Independent | 6% | 63.6% | 28% | 33% | – | 16.7% | 22% | – | 17.6% | 34% | |
Antonio Trillanes | Aksyon | 6% | – | 10% | 11% | – | 13.0% | 10.2% | – | – | 12% | |
Ben Tulfo | Independent | – | – | – | – | – | 30.5% | 43% | – | 40.9% | 45% | |
Erwin Tulfo | ACT-CIS | 32% | 64.5% | 60% | 76% | 52% | 57.1% | 58% | 37% | 58.0% | 58% | |
Luis Raymund Villafuerte | NUP | – | – | 2% | – | – | 2.8% | 2.8% | – | – | – | |
Camille Villar | Nacionalista | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Kathryna Yu-Pimentel | PDP | – | – | 4% | – | – | 5.7% | 4.1% | – | – | – | |
Don't know | 3% | 1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | ||||||||
Refused | 4% | 3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | ||||||||
None | 7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | |||||||||
Invalid votes (13 or more names) |
Per party
- Parties (excluding independents) with the plurality of seats in boldface.
- Parties (excluding independents) with the majority of seats are shaded by the party color.
Seats won
- Totals may not add up to 12 due to margin of error.
Date | Pollster | LP | Ind | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | |||||||||||||||
Jun 26–Jul 1 | OCTA[1] | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
Jun 17–24 | Pulse Asia[2] | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
Mar 14–19 | Publicus Asia[3] | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
Mar 11–14 | OCTA[4] | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
Mar 6–10 | Pulse Asia[5] | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
Feb 21–29 | Oculum[6] | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
2023 | |||||||||||||||
Dec 10–14 | OCTA[7] | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Sep 30–Oct 4 | OCTA[8] | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
Sep 20–30 | RP-MDF[9] | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
Apr 15–18 | SWS[10] | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Seats after the election
Totals may not add up to 24 due to margin of error.
Date | Pollster | LP | Ind | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | |||||||||||||||||
Jun 26–Jul 1 | OCTA[1] | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | |
Jun 17–24 | Pulse Asia[2] | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | |
Mar 14–19 | Publicus Asia[3] | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
Mar 11–14 | OCTA[4] | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | |
Mar 6–10 | Pulse Asia[5] | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | |
Feb 21–29 | Oculum[6] | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | |
2023 | |||||||||||||||||
Dec 10–14 | OCTA[7] | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
Sep 30–Oct 4 | OCTA[8] | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | |
Sep 20–30 | RP-MDF[9] | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | |
Apr 15–18 | SWS[10] | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
References
- ^ a b c d Casilao, Joahna Lei (June 18, 2024). "Erwin Tulfo keeps lead in OCTA's senatorial survey". GMANetwork.com. Retrieved June 19, 2024.
- ^ a b c d "June 2024 Ulat ng Bayan Senatorial Pre-Election Preference probe". Pulse Asia. Retrieved July 15, 2024.
- ^ a b c d "Former President Duterte slips from top spot in 2025 Senatorial race - PAHAYAG Survey". www.publicusasia.com. Archived from the original on June 30, 2024. Retrieved June 30, 2024.
- ^ a b c d "Erwin Tulfo leads OCTA Research senatorial survey". GMANetwork.com. April 4, 2024. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
- ^ a b c d "March 2024 Nationwide Survey on 2025 Senatorial Election". Pulse Asia. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
- ^ a b c d Untalan, Sherylin (April 30, 2024). "Ex-president Duterte, Sotto, Tulfo top potential senatorial bets in survey". GMA News Online. Retrieved July 1, 2024.
- ^ a b c d Pelonia, Ada (January 2, 2024). "Erwin Tulfo leads OCTA's 2025 senatorial survey anew". DZRH. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
- ^ a b c d De Vera-Ruiz, Ellalyn (October 23, 2023). "Erwin Tulfo still most preferred bet for 2025 senatorial race — survey". Manila Bulletin. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
- ^ a b c d "Sotto, Go lead 2025 senatorial survey — RPMD". Manila Standard. October 16, 2023. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
- ^ a b c d "SWS confirms survey for Mr. Arnel Ty on voting preferences for Senators (aided)". SWS. June 13, 2023. Retrieved March 31, 2023.